Antonio Nieto-Rodriguez
Creator of the Project Economy | Two-Time Thinkers50 Thinker | Vice President, Association for Project Management | HBR's Most Published PM Author
Robert Shiller
Nobel Laureate in Economics (2013) | Sterling Professor Emeritus, Yale University | Co-Creator of the CAPE Ratio and Case-Shiller Index | Author, Irrational Exuberance
Few economists have read markets as accurately as Robert Shiller. The Nobel laureate warned of the dot-com bubble and the U.S. housing bubble before both collapsed, and his work in behavioral finance changed how investors think about price, psychology, and risk. On stage he turns decades of data into clear frameworks for spotting speculative excess and reading the stories that move capital, showing senior leaders when the crowd has gone too far.
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Robert Shiller biography
Robert Shiller is one of the most influential economists of his generation and a recipient of the 2013 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, shared with Eugene Fama and Lars Peter Hansen for their empirical analysis of asset prices. He is Sterling Professor Emeritus of Economics at Yale University, where he taught from 1982 and held the Sterling chair, the university’s highest faculty rank. For event organizers, Nobel Prize speaker Robert Shiller offers a rare pairing: research that reshaped modern finance and a public voice that investors and policymakers have followed for decades.
Born in Detroit, Shiller earned his bachelor’s degree at the University of Michigan and his Ph.D. at MIT under Franco Modigliani. In the early 1980s he showed that stock prices swing far more than dividends can justify, a direct challenge to the Efficient Market Hypothesis and a founding moment for behavioral finance. With John Campbell he developed the CAPE ratio, now a standard gauge of long-run market valuation, and with Karl Case he created the Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading benchmark for U.S. housing prices. His Yale course Financial Markets, offered free online through Coursera, has brought his approach to learners around the world.
Warnings That Proved Right
Shiller’s book Irrational Exuberance appeared in 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom, and warned that stocks were in a speculative bubble. Its second edition, in 2005, flagged U.S. housing as dangerously overvalued, a call confirmed by the 2008 financial crisis. He extended the argument in Animal Spirits and Phishing for Phools, both written with Nobel laureate George Akerlof, and in Finance and the Good Society, which makes the case for financial innovation that serves society broadly. In Narrative Economics he showed how popular stories spread like epidemics and drive booms, recessions, and policy. He has served as president of the American Economic Association and writes the long-running Finance in the 21st Century column for Project Syndicate.
As a speaker, Robert Shiller brings the authority of a Nobel laureate and the credibility of someone who named two major bubbles before they burst. His keynotes give investors, bankers, and policymakers practical frameworks for judging valuation, reading market sentiment, and spotting the narratives that move capital. Audiences leave with sharper instincts about risk and a clearer sense of when popular conviction has drifted away from the fundamentals.
Robert Shiller Speaking Videos
Nobel Prize Prof. Robert J. Shiller on Market Efficiency and the Role of Finance in Society
1. Introduction and What this Course Will Do for You and Your Purposes
Robert Shiller Keynote Topics
Shiller draws on the research behind his Nobel Prize and his well-documented calls on the dot-com and housing bubbles to explain how speculative booms take hold, why they last longer than rational analysis predicts, and which signals tend to appear before a correction. He walks audiences through valuation metrics, sentiment measures, and the feedback loops that turn rising prices into rising conviction.
The session is built on long-run market data and on patterns that repeat across asset classes and generations. It suits investment managers, risk officers, board members, and senior executives who allocate capital and need a disciplined way to tell enthusiasm from excess.
Based on his book Narrative Economics, Shiller presents one of the most original ideas in contemporary economics: that popular stories about technology, jobs, housing, or new forms of money spread through society much like epidemics and shape spending, investing, and policy in ways that standard models miss.
He shows how to recognize when a narrative is gaining economic weight, how such stories rise and fade, and what that means for leaders trying to anticipate the next shift in consumer and investor behavior. A strong fit for strategy offsites, investor forums, and policy audiences facing uncertain markets.
In this data-driven keynote, Shiller explains the logic and history of the CAPE ratio, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings measure he developed with John Campbell, and what it has and has not predicted over more than a century of market history. He addresses the recurring question of whether high valuations signal danger or a new normal.
Audiences gain a grounded view of reasonable long-run return expectations across asset classes and of how to apply valuation discipline without abandoning long bull markets. Especially valuable for pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and other long-horizon investors.
Drawing on Finance and the Good Society, Shiller argues that finance, when well designed and widely accessible, is one of the most effective tools a society has for managing risk, widening opportunity, and improving welfare. He challenges the view that financial innovation is inherently destabilizing.
The talk outlines how better instruments, indices, and markets can spread risk more fairly and serve a broad public rather than a narrow few. A thoughtful choice for financial services leaders, regulators, development finance institutions, and any organization weighing the social role of capital markets.
FAQs on Booking Robert Shiller
Why Robert Shiller?
Robert Shiller is the economist who warned of the dot-com bubble at its peak and flagged the U.S. housing bubble years before the 2008 crisis. A Nobel laureate, Sterling Professor Emeritus at Yale, and co-creator of the CAPE ratio and the Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, he combines academic authority with a public track record of reading markets correctly when consensus was wrong. His keynotes are rigorous yet accessible, blending market history, psychology, and current analysis for senior audiences in finance, investment, banking, and economic policy. Aurum Speakers Bureau can arrange a keynote, fireside conversation, or executive session with Robert Shiller tailored to your event.
What is the CAPE ratio and how do investors use it?
The CAPE ratio, or cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio, is a stock market valuation measure developed by Robert Shiller and John Campbell. Instead of dividing share prices by a single year of earnings, it uses the average of inflation-adjusted earnings over the previous ten years, which smooths out the swings of the business cycle. Historically, a CAPE well above its long-run average has been followed by lower returns over the next decade, and a low CAPE by higher returns. Institutional investors and asset allocators use it as a long-horizon gauge of whether equity markets look broadly expensive or cheap, not as a short-term timing tool.
What is behavioral finance and how did Robert Shiller shape it?
Behavioral finance studies how psychology, emotion, and social influence affect financial decisions and market prices. Robert Shiller helped found the field in the early 1980s when he showed that stock prices move far more than changes in dividends can explain, evidence that markets are not always efficient. His later work on speculative bubbles, investor feedback loops, and economic narratives built on that insight and contributed to his 2013 Nobel Prize. Today behavioral finance informs how investors, regulators, and central banks think about risk and market sentiment.
What does Nobel economist Robert Shiller speak about at events?
Robert Shiller speaks on speculative bubbles and market psychology, stock and housing valuation, the CAPE ratio and long-run returns, narrative economics and how viral stories shape the economy, and the role of financial innovation in society. His talks suit investment conferences, banking and wealth management summits, central bank and policy forums, and leadership meetings where markets and macroeconomic risk are on the agenda. Aurum Speakers Bureau can shape his session around your audience and objectives, from a formal keynote to a moderated Q&A.
How to book Robert Shiller as a keynote speaker?
Aurum Speakers Bureau can help you book Robert Shiller as a speaker for your next event, conference, or board meeting. Simply fill out our contact form to inquire about Robert Shiller's availability for a speaking engagement. One of our booking agents will respond to your request immediately and contact the speaker to let them know you want to hire them. We will assist you with obtaining speaking fees, booking information, and confirming availability for Robert Shiller or any other top keynote speaker or celebrity of your choice.
How much is Robert Shiller speaking fee?
Robert Shiller speaking fees are determined by several factors, including the event's date, whether it's a virtual or in-person event, the duration, format, preparation required for their speech, and more. The same applies to the cost to hire any other top expert speakers and celebrities. The Speaker Fee Range listed on our website is simply a guideline and is subject to change without notice. If you would like to hire Robert Shiller to deliver a keynote speech for your event, please fill out the contact form or email us at info@aurumbureau.com with as much detail as possible. One of our experienced agents will get in touch with you and let you know exactly how much it will cost to book Robert Shiller.
How can I contact Robert Shiller?
We only work with Robert Shiller on paid speaking engagements. Aurum Speakers Bureau can assist you in booking Robert Shiller and will handle all negotiations, contracts, and logistics associated with having Robert Shiller speak at your event. We will be your sole point of contact throughout the process. Get in touch with Aurum Speakers Bureau today, and we will reach out to any motivational speaker or celebrity you want to enquire about speaking at your event. If you wish to contact Robert Shiller for any other reason, we will be unable to assist you as we are not authorized to provide personal contact information.
Can I book Robert Shiller for a virtual keynote?
Yes, Robert Shiller is available for virtual keynotes and webinars. To book Robert Shiller for a virtual event, please complete the contact form or send us an email to inquire about the special fees for virtual engagements.
